Efficacy in the 18-55 year old group much higher than expected! That augers well for seniors even without efficacy data. But we are a long way from home free. Issues to keep in mind:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

• Only 25 million people (50 million doses\/2) worldwide can be treated in the first few months. Only 500 million people worldwide in the first year (1 billion doses\/2). <\/li>
• It’s an extremely difficult vaccine to transport: https:\/\/garycornell.com\/2020\/08\/30\/back-of-envelope-calculation-the-number-and-the-costs-of-freezers-needed-for-the-pfizer-vaccine\/<\/li>
• Duration of immunity completely up in the air as is the effect on preventing serious cases and deaths – and again no real info on seniors for the reasons I ‘ve written about at length. But no reason not to be hopeful.<\/li>
• Long term safety day won’t be available for a while – probably mid 2021. First responders will be participants in one of the largest safety aka Phase 4 trials ever. But again there is no reason not<\/em> to be hopeful.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n

  But it couldn’t be better news, everything I have read indicated that people were hoping for a 70% efficacy signal at best, Pfizer got a 90% signal!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

  Efficacy in the 18-55 year old group much higher than expected! That augers well for seniors even without efficacy data. But we are a long way from home free. Issues to keep in mind: Only 25 million people (50 million doses\/2) worldwide can be treated in the first few months. Only 500 million people worldwide … Continue reading “Obviously great great news but we aren’t home free yet”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/587"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=587"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/587\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":589,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/587\/revisions\/589"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=587"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=587"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=587"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}