A short post but an important one. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again because it can’t be repeated enough: if you are told the increase in testing is why there is a rise in confirmed cases, check the test positivity ratio<\/em>. If it is the same (or even worse, increasing), then the increased number of cases is because the disease has started to spread faster. Any other interpretation is just BS being tossed your way. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let’s look at Florida for example: As I am writing this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. The test positivity ratio as of Tuesday June 16, 2020 is rising and is now 5.6<\/li>
2. The seven day average number of cases is increasing <\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

   Undeniable conclusion? Things are getting worse in Florida quickly<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

   <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

   A short post but an important one. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again because it can’t be repeated enough: if you are told the increase in testing is why there is a rise in confirmed cases, check the test positivity ratio. If it is the same (or even worse, increasing), then the … Continue reading “When to call bull s**t about whether things are getting worse or not.”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-pandemic"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=293"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":301,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293\/revisions\/301"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/garycornell.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}